Anthropic and the Pentagon Situation

It was just last week that I posted a brief write-up about the situation with Anthropic and the Department of Defense. At the time, it seemed like the worst thing that might happen to Anthropic was a loss of military contracts, but things have escalated. The Pentagon and the Trump administration have ordered the discontinuation of Anthropic products by government agencies and contractors.

This is highly unusual and an extremely aggressive move. Anthropic has received a groundswell of public support, and OpenAI has been getting a lot of criticism for stepping in and signing a major contract as soon as Anthropic was excluded.

The Morally Bankruptcy of Social Media Influencers

This rant is a bit off topic, but I am really taken by how badly social media influencers have inserted themselves into the tragic disappearance of Nancy Guthrie, Savanah Guthrie’s mother. We don’t know what happened to Nancy and 31 days on, things do not look good. No communications has been verified as coming from the perpetrators and the investigation seems to have little direction.

While I do not know Savannah, I’ve met her several times and she’s always been an extremely kind person, but beyond that, this isn’t just a celebrity story: it’s a tragic story of a family trying to find their mother, who was taken, apparently by malicious persons meaning harm. it’s a nightmare.

But for those who want to appoint themselves web sleuths? For social media influencers? For those who want to be thought of as an expert and have a YouTube channel/blog post/podcast to sell? There’s no limit to the baseless speculation and repeated attacks on the Guthrie family, especially her son in law and persons who are only guilty of being part of his life. These egotistical self-promoting vultures do not seem to see any harm in what they are doing.


Do not upvote, subscribe or even engage with these idiotic and useless videos. That’s what gives them an audience and promotes them via YouTube and social media algorithms.

We Need To Take AI Doomerism Seriously

No, not the actual belief. The idea that AI will become a cartoon supervillain and wipe out humanity is as idiotic as it sounds. The danger is that the belief is getting credibility, is taken seriously and is a dangerous red hearing. The grifter economy of AI doom is a self-serving scam, but the consequences are real.

I personally find AI Doom to be more than a nuisance. Most do not realize this but, when you peel away the curtain, the movement is actually based on a strong cult-like belief and has spawned some extremely disturbing rhetoric. There have been threats against AI labs and ridiculous proposals for legislation to pause or stop AI research. There are all kinds of ridiculous claims being made and they are getting media attention> Almost nobody seems to be aware of the true nature of this ridiculous idea.

Most AI experts have disengaged from the nonsense of AI doom. After all, it’s not like it’s interesting and nobody wants to have to deal with their area of expertise being stepped on by people who don’t know what they’re talking about. However, this is dangerous. Doom movements have grown around other technologies: nano technology, vaccines, genetic engineering, nuclear energy and others. What we know is that these movements, unhinged and unsupported though they may be, do not go away and frequently lead to bad legislation and major problems for industries that do not fight back.

AI doom is an especially prevalent threat and it’s receiving mainstream legitimacy and attention, which should be seen as a major problem in and of itself.

What is AI Doom

AI Doom is the basic idea that there is some kind of unique and existential threat to humanity, based on the idea that AI systems and ML models might become “super intelligent” and therefore impossible to stop from causing harm. This is also predicated on the idea that in addition to intelligence being a scaler, which can be arrived at through increased compute, that the resulting intelligence would somehow achieve autonomy and become either hostile to humans or desire to eliminate humans to gain more resources.

It’s not an entirely new idea. It’s been a trope in science fiction for some time. It is based on a lot of universal fears, like not understanding technology, being replaced, dehumanization and the fact that people have been so conditioned by science fiction to expect such an outcome to be reasonable.

Doom literally refers to an “end of the world” scenario, but there are other doom adjacent beliefs and claims, such as the idea that AI will lead to a permanent dystopian society where employment is impossible and power is consolidated or that AI may enslave humanity.

Importantly, while there are absolutely risks of a variety of types that are associated with AI adoption, the idea of a species-level risk from the technology gaining self-motivation and setting its own goals is not plausible at all.

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Anthropic Faces Challenges From Pentagon Requirements

I have been critical of Anthropic before. The company rose quickly and is run primarily by founders who do not come from a conventional business leadership background. The company is governed with a strong spirit of ethics and stewardship.

While I have found their message to be a bit unprofessional, speculative and over the top at times, there’s no doubt that it’s honorable for a company to put its own ethics above lucrative business deals. As so many large corporations support ICE actions and government overreach, it’s nice to see a company that still is willing to stand up and do the right thing.

When it comes to using technology by militaries, the ethics get dicey fast. Is it okay to use technology for purely defensive roles? What if it is offensive, but in a justified conflict? Is it okay if it results in more deaths on the other side? What if a weapon is powerful but its impacts are based on how it is used? Should our commanders be trusted to use technology ethnically? Is it patriotic to provide tech to the military, because it may save out servivcepeople?

These are not easy questions, and companies grapple with them all the time. Some companies are card carrying defense contractors, and that’s just what they do. But war is an unusual situation: The aim is to kill people and cause maximum destruction. That’s at odds with most corporate ethics.

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Where We Really Stand In AI Capabilities

The recent talk of AGI, as if it is some kind of impending certainty, and now talk about “Superintelligence” is really causing a great deal of confusion. The reality is that we are nowhere near the point of human level intelligence in all domains, the idea of artificial super intelligence, is entirely speculative and nowhere near foreseeable capabilities, and you can’t scale past the limits of current AI systems. The truth has been lost in a sea of sensational rhetoric.

The modern public discourse around artificial intelligence began with a fundamental shift in frame of reference. For decades, AI systems were narrow, technical, and largely invisible to the general public. Then, quite suddenly, natural language processing systems emerged with startling fluency. For the first time, people could interact with a machine through conversational language that resembled human dialogue.

This single development reset public intuition overnight.

Instead of being understood as statistical systems operating within defined computational constraints, large language models were immediately interpreted through the lens of science fiction archetypes: conversational minds, digital assistants, synthetic intellects. The resemblance in surface behavior was compelling enough to override the underlying reality of how these systems actually function.

But fluency is not cognition. Simulation of reasoning is not reasoning itself.

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The Narrative About AI Triggered Job Loss is Speculative and Irresponsible

We are seeing an increased public narrative about the potential for job losses from AI deployment. These claims receive a great deal of media attention and are rewarded in the social media landscape for being as pessimistic as possible. Mass job loss remains highly speculative and many claims skew to the highly implausible. But this is causing mass harm.

The increasingly popular narrative of inevitable, catastrophic, long-term job loss due to artificial intelligence is not grounded in robust empirical evidence. It is overwhelmingly speculative, framed in worst-case abstractions, and presented to the public with a level of certainty that far exceeds what the data justifies. That alone would be intellectually questionable. But the deeper issue is ethical: the psychological and social harm caused by repeatedly presenting extreme scenarios as near-certainties.

There is a very real human cost to this discourse. People are not reading these forecasts as academic hypotheticals. They are internalizing them as personal futures. Students reconsider career paths. Mid-career professionals experience anxiety and loss of motivation. Workers in already uncertain labor markets feel prematurely obsolete. This is not a trivial side effect. It is a measurable psychological burden placed on millions of people based on projections that remain deeply uncertain and, in many cases, methodologically weak.

Serious economic forecasting requires discipline, historical grounding, and humility about technological diffusion. What we are instead seeing in many public conversations is a pattern of extrapolation from capability demos directly to labor market collapse, skipping entirely over the realities of workflow integration, governance constraints, liability frameworks, organizational inertia, and economic adaptation. That is not analysis. That is narrative acceleration.

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Update on Drone Hysteria With Video

This truly appears to be primarily and perhaps completely caused by mass hysteria and not any actual drone swarm of any kind. There remains the possibility that there were unauthorized drones in sensitive areas, but that does not appear to account for most of the reports.

After spending hours looking for any videos of the supposed drones in New Jersey and elsewhere, I was surprised to find that the overwhelming majority of the sightings seem to be clear, unambiguous and completely doubtless examples of civil and commercial aircraft.


This reminds me very much of the battle of Los Angeles, which was not actually a real battle but rather just an example of similar mass hysteria. We are seeing similar hallmarks to previous flying phenomena hysteria, including a mushrooming number of reports and increasing drama as more and more people are convinced that drones have crashed, are attacking or something else.

Could Drones Over New Jersey Be a Case of Mass Hysteria?

It’s far from certain, and there are a few cases that appear to be legitimate drone sightings, but a large number also appear to be civilian aircraft or other mistakes. At least some, thought perhaps not all reports are a case of panic.

If you have not been living under a rock, you are probably aware that people around New Jersey, and now elsewhere are up in arms over reported sightings of drones. Drone sightings are not at all unusual in the year 2024, but these include reports of drones over sensitive military facilities and critical infrastructure, such as reservoirs and power plants. These reports started coming in around November 13th and have gotten more and more extreme as time has gone on.

At present, a number of elected officials, such as mayors, the governor and police chiefs have voices concern. A great deal of drama is now under way, while officials are demanding answers from the FBI, military or others. Many are calling for the drones to be shot down.

The problem is we still don’t actually have any answers as to what is happening and the reports are fragmented and inconsistent. With time, confusion has only increased and primary evidence of documentation has been lacking.

Now similar reports are being made across the Northeast. At first it was claimed that the drones were “spreading to New York.” Now they claim to have been seen across the Northeast and the US in general.

Here is what seems to have been reported:

  • It has been reported that the drones are only out at night, reportedly appearing at dusk and not being seen during the day.
  • Many of the drones have lights on them, in some cases the lights are strobes or other standard hazard and navigational lights.
  • There have been reports of bright lights and drones that are highly visible and not trying to be stealthy.
  • The drones have been reported over restricted areas, such as Trump-owned property, military installations and airports.
  • Air traffic, including a medical helicopter have had to be diverted due to concerns over drone collisions.
  • Their origin, flight paths and landing locations remains elusive.
  • There are unconfirmed reports of drones switching off lights or otherwise trying to hide when pursued.
  • Many have claimed that the drones are enormous in size, frequently described as the size of an SUV or larger.
  • Reports imply the same drones remain in the sky for hours and travel great distances.

It should be noted that such large and capable drones do exist and are available for purchase. The reports of drones “The size of an SUV” or “8 feet in diameter,” if true, do imply that these are not consumer drones, but rather larger, higher capacity drones. Such drones do exist and are used in agriculture, surveying and other professional pursuits. It’s also possible that a large experimental drone could be constructed by hobbyists, as parts and supplies to build large drones do exist.

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Does your kid play video games? Sue about it!

Ah yes, we are as overly and overtly litigious society, and there is no doubt about it. Certainly not when an old scheme comes up, yet again. The evil daemon? That’s right, video games. Video games, along with comic books, and that dang-blasted rock and roll music – this is why kids these days don’t know the value of a dollar!

Leaving aside the sarcasm for a moment…

Video games have been demonized as addictive, a waste of time, an encourager of violence and a gateway to satanism, ever since they first debuted in the 1970’s. Today most adults are used to the banter, because anyone under the age of 60 grew up with it. Video games tend to be the low hanging fruit for what people think is offensive and dangerous. They always have been, but now that it is so familiar, it seems less likely that anyone would take it seriously.

Well, there are law firms who feel otherwise.

Here are a few ads that I came across on social media, over the past few weeks.

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How The Failure Of Cyber Security Cost Harris the Election

Many do not realize this, but Donald Trump largely won the election because of cyber security failings by the current administration. Don’t believe me? Cyber security losses are a huge factor in inflation and have caused a massive economic problem, which has decimated healthcare and cost billions to government agencies, all while financing Hamas and the war in Ukraine.

These macroscopic problems may not seem to be linked to cyber security losses, but they are. While politicians like to pretend it is a minor, specialized issue, the fact is that cyber losses are now decimating business and hurting the monetary supply. They are a huge factor in why American businesses are failing and why it is harder than ever to compete. The pain that Americans feel at the gas pump, when they get their pay check, pay for insurance and the problems in the world are not 100% caused by poor management of cyber risks, but that is part of it.

The biggest problem, as I have stated before, is that we simply cannot improve things until the insurance sector cleans up its act. The moral crisis we now are seeing is caused primarily by the insurance sector, which has made the decision that it is fine to lose money on cyber security and it’s fine to raise rates. They’ve created a monster, and that monster can’t be kept at bay until regulators wise up and recognize that insurance must be held accountable for the disgusting and despicable conduct of cyber security underwriters.

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